COVID-19 Has the curve flattened?

Has the curve flattened?

Countries around the world are working to “flatten the curve” of the coronavirus pandemic. Flattening the curve involves reducing the number of new COVID-19 cases from one day to the next. This helps prevent healthcare systems from becoming overwhelmed. When a country has fewer new COVID-19 cases emerging today than it did on a previous day, that’s a sign that the country is flattening the curve.

On a trend line of total cases, a flattened curve looks how it sounds: flat. On the charts on this page, which show new cases per day, a flattened curve will show a downward trend in the number of daily new cases.

This analysis uses a 5-day moving average to visualize the number of new COVID-19 cases and calculate the rate of change. This is calculated for each day by averaging the values of that day, the two days before, and the two next days. This approach helps prevent major events (such as a change in reporting methods) from skewing the data. The interactive charts below show the daily number of new cases for the 10 most affected countries, based on the reported number of deaths by COVID-19.

This page was last updated on Friday, April 10, 2020 at 08:12 PM EDT.

Daily confirmed new cases (5-day moving average)

Outbreak evolution for the current 10 most affected countries

ITALY

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

DOWN

The first case of COVID-19 in Italy was reported 70 days ago on 1/30/2020. Since then, the country has reported 147,577 cases, and 18,849 deaths.

US

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

UP

The first case of COVID-19 in US was reported 78 days ago on 1/22/2020. Since then, the country has reported 496,535 cases, and 18,586 deaths.

SPAIN

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

DOWN

The first case of COVID-19 in Spain was reported 69 days ago on 1/31/2020. Since then, the country has reported 158,273 cases, and 16,081 deaths.

FRANCE

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

UP

The first case of COVID-19 in France was reported 77 days ago on 1/23/2020. Since then, the country has reported 125,931 cases, and 13,215 deaths.

UNITED KINGDOM

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

UP

The first case of COVID-19 in United Kingdom was reported 70 days ago on 1/30/2020. Since then, the country has reported 74,605 cases, and 8,974 deaths.

IRAN

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

DOWN

The first case of COVID-19 in Iran was reported 51 days ago on 2/18/2020. Since then, the country has reported 68,192 cases, and 4,232 deaths.

CHINA

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

UP

The first case of COVID-19 in China was reported 101 days ago on 12/30/2019. Since then, the country has reported 82,941 cases, and 3,340 deaths.

BELGIUM

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

UP

The first case of COVID-19 in Belgium was reported 66 days ago on 2/3/2020. Since then, the country has reported 26,667 cases, and 3,019 deaths.

GERMANY

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

UP

The first case of COVID-19 in Germany was reported 74 days ago on 1/26/2020. Since then, the country has reported 122,171 cases, and 2,767 deaths.

NETHERLANDS

New cases confirmed each day (5-day-average)

UP

The first case of COVID-19 in Netherlands was reported 43 days ago on 2/26/2020. Since then, the country has reported 23,249 cases, and 2,520 deaths.